Wednesday, June 15, 2011

Who Pays For Unemployment Benefits?

Imagine you just interviewed for a new job. The employer tells you “You’re a great match for our company, and we’d be excited to have you work for us. We offer good pay, flexible hours, a comfortable work environment, and great benefits.” 

You say, “Great! When can I start?”

“Unfortunately, our benefits are so great, that we can barely afford them for the people we already have. So even though we’d love to have you work for us, we can’t afford to hire you.” 

You reply, “I don’t need all the benefits. I really need the job.” 

“Unfortunately, the benefits are mandated by government, so our hands are tied. Best of luck to you with your job search.” 

In Colorado (as of October, 2010, the latest information my research team (me) could find) every 95 people that receive wages represent one job that won’t be created because of unemployment insurance (UI) taxes.  That means those taxes potentially increase unemployment by 1%. And those taxes are increasing rapidly, so 95 people may soon become 75 or 65, and 1% becomes 1.3 or 1.5%. 

During this recession, Colorado’s Unemployment Insurance Trust Fund (UITF) has been bankrupt since January, 2010. Colorado pays $1.51 in benefits for every $1.00 it receives in UI taxes.   Despite our state constitution’s ban on deficit spending, the UITF has been borrowing money from the federal government since then.  We are currently $500 million in the hole.  Unemployment Insurance taxes are going up to cover the deficit, and with fewer businesses and employees to tax, the rates are skyrocketing. 

Our unemployment system creates huge problems. First is the incentive not to hire. Every new hire is a potential unemployment claim against the employer. Claims raise rates.  It’s better not to hire someone you may later have to lay off.  Second, employers are inclined to fire “for cause” if layoffs are necessary, so that the employee will not be able to make a claim against the company. This damages the resume of the new job seeker. 

But aren’t the benefits worth it? The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) says of the options it studied for government programs to stimulate the economy, UI is the most effective.  It also says that every dollar spent on unemployment generates up to $1.90 in economic growth.  This is preposterous on its face.  If it were true, we could all quit work and the economy would not just recover, it would flourish.

One option the CBO ignored is not taxing employers and not borrowing money to pay for the benefits.  If a dollar taken from an employer by the State and then redistributed to a beneficiary (who spends valuable but unproductive time to meet the State’s requirements) can generate positive economic growth, then a dollar left in the hands of an employer surely would generate more growth.  

Contrary to popular opinion, employers do not pay UI taxes. Sure, they write the checks. But the money comes from you and me, the workers, consumers, shareholders, etc.  UI taxes (as well as any other tax) are a cost to the business, and the business passes those taxes on.  If they don’t or can’t, that leads to fewer profits, business failures, and lost jobs. But if the business you work for fails, you’ll get unemployment benefits! That should make you feel better – you’ll be a beneficiary of the tax that added to the burden that led to the failure of your employer! 

And who gets the benefits?  The government and business both have incentive to deny claims to unemployed people.  Claims increase the experience rate of companies, and that raises their tax rates. Businesses will do their best to terminate for cause so that claims will not be paid.  Colorado government wants to display their “fiscal responsibility” by running a sound program that doesn’t run out of money and eliminates fraud and abuse.  So a relatively small percentage of those who lose their jobs actually receive the benefits.  Even now, only 37% of the unemployed receive benefits. 

So when you go to that next job interview, look at the employees.  Every 95 of them represents the job you won’t get, courtesy of your government.

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